Before we continue on, let me tell you something about myself first.
I was a very active member of the green movement. At one point, I was the secretary of the Green Corps at City College of San Francisco. The Green Corps at that time was trying to make people in San Francisco to vote in favor of green policy such as: banning plastic bottle, reduce consumption of non-organic food product, and obviously green energy.
However, things changed for me when I participated in college debate tournaments/activities. To be success in debate, I had to collect evidences. I especially loved well written, concise, and full of data documents which can use to compare arguments in competition. And many of them documented the failure of the ongoing green policies.
Despite the accessibility of these documents, I had not encounter anyone bring them up in debate during the seven year of my debate career. I became suspicious of the green movement, and eventually decided against it after seeing how bad their consequences were.
Major challenges to renewable energy
Let's begin the discussion with the quote from the beginning:
"[Clean tech is] a perfect example of a 10x exponential process which will wipe fossil fuels off the market in about a decade.” -TONY SEBA, STANFORD ECONOMIST
This statement represents what is completely wrong with the decarbonized energy movement. It is false on three reasons. It ignores the very tiny contribution of solar and wind and expect renewable energy to overcome such massive gap in just 10 years. Secondly, it ignores the unrealistic demand in mining industry. And it ignores the physics barrier that governs energy conversion for solar and wind.
The decarbonized goal cannot be meet, unless the world completely shut down and destroy all hydrocarbon system so that solar and wind can have above 90% energy supplies. By doing so wind and solar power will increase more than ten-fold in percentage of energy production but it will leaves at least 80 percent world population devastated because that have no access to energy.
Other mean to reach is some how get rid of the surplus world population through unspeakable means so that the tiny amount of green energy can cover them all. Every genocide in the name of redistribution of wealth are an example of this practice.
Or, a more common practice among environmental doomsdays practice to set the same goal for over the "next decades", as there are always "next decades". Still, the global mining operation could not meet the decarbonized goal regardless of how many times the deadlines are extended.
Even if the world ignore its human right issue, China's geopolitics ambition will prioritize resources to its business over outsiders, thus dooming any future expansion of renewable resources for the rest of the world.
The "New Energy Economy": An Exercise in Magical Thinking. Mark P. Mills. March 26, 2019
Metal Demand for Renewable Electricity Generation in The Netherlands - Navigating a Complex Supply Chain. 8. December 2018